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	<title>C21AGVoices &#187; FOMC</title>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 15, 2011 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/fomc-statement-march-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/fomc-statement-march-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Mar 2011 22:35:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bond market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dual mandate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palmyra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Press release]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/?p=1099</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, for the second straight meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. The vote was 10-0.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" />Today, for the second straight meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p>The vote was 10-0.</p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release March 15 2011" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110315a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC noted that since its January 2011 meeting, the economic recovery &#8220;is on firmer footing&#8221;, and that the labor markets are &#8220;improving gradually&#8221;. In addition, household spending &#8220;continues to expand&#8221;. Nonetheless, the Fed said, the economy remains constrained by rising commodity prices and the &#8220;depressed&#8221; housing sector.</p>
<p>The FOMC statement also re-affirms the group&#8217;s plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221;, and to keep its $600 billion bond market support package &#8212; more commonly called &#8220;QE2&#8243; &#8212; intact.</p>
<p>And, lastly, for the third straight time, the Federal Open Market Committee&#8217;s post-meeting release statement included a paragraph detailing the Federal Reserve&#8217;s dual mandate of managing inflation levels, and fostering maximum employment. Although it acknowledged inflationary pressures on the economy, the Fed said inflation remains too low for the economy currently, and that unemployment remains &#8220;elevated&#8221;.</p>
<p>In time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC has been negative since the statement&#8217;s release. Mortgage rates in Palmyra are unchanged, but poised to worsen.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting is a 2-day event, <a title="FOMC calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">April 26-27, 2011</a>.</p>
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		<title>Fed Minutes Show Lower Unemployment And Higher Growth For 2011 and 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/fed-minutes-january-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/fed-minutes-january-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2011 16:45:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Reserve released its most recent meeting minutes Wednesday. Fed Minutes are the unabridged version of the succinct, more well-known "Fed Statement" that's released immediately post-adjournment.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="FOMC November 2010 Minutes" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fomc-minutes-201011.jpg" alt="FOMC November 2010 Minutes" width="200" height="296" />The Federal Reserve released its<a title="FOMC meeting minutes January 2011" href="http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110216a.htm" target="_blank"> January 25-26, 2011 meeting minutes</a> Wednesday afternoon. Pennsylvania mortgage rates have been in flux since.</p>
<p>Fed Minutes are comprehensive recaps of Federal Open Market Committee meetings; a detailed look at the debates and discussions that shape our nation&#8217;s monetary policy. As such, they&#8217;re released 8 times annually; 3 weeks after the most recent FOMC meeting.</p>
<p>Fed Minutes can be viewed as the unabridged version of the succinct, more well-known &#8220;Fed Statement&#8221; that&#8217;s released to markets immediately post-adjournment.</p>
<p>Just how much more lengthy are Fed Minutes?</p>
<ul>
<li>The January 25-26, 2011 statement contains <a title="FOMC statement January 25-26 2011" href="http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110126a.htm" target="_blank">395 words</a></li>
<li>The January 25-26, 2011 meeting minutes contains <a title="FOMC minutes January 25-26 2011" href="http://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20110126.htm" target="_blank">6,916 words</a></li>
</ul>
<p>If the Fed Statement is an executive summary, the Fed Minutes is a novel. And, the extra words matter.</p>
<p>When the Federal Reserve publishes its minutes, it&#8217;s offering clues about the group&#8217;s next policy-making steps.  As an example, in the January minutes, the Fed improved its outlook for economic growth; lowered its projections for the Unemployment Rate; and removed its concern for deflation.</p>
<p>In addition, the Fed discussed the potential for food-and-energy-cost-induced inflation, but labeled it as a minor economic risk at this point in time.</p>
<p>Bond markets are mixed on the text of the Fed Minutes.</p>
<p>Although the Fed indicates a willingness to allow inflation to occur, it appears ready to act in case inflation goes <em>too</em> high. One way that the Fed responds to rising inflation is to raise the Fed Funds Rate and many economists believe this will start happening by late-2011 or early-2012.</p>
<h6 class="zemanta-related-title" style="font-size: 1em;">Related articles</h6>
<ul class="zemanta-article-ul">
<li class="zemanta-article-ul-li"><a href="http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-explanation-january-26-2011/">A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (January 26, 2011 Edition)</a> (c21agvoices.com)</li>
</ul>
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		<title>The Fed Met Last Week. What It Means To Mortgage Rates.</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-meeting-strategy-january-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-meeting-strategy-january-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jan 2011 13:45:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Central bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage loan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day meeting today in Washington D.C. It's the group's first meeting of 2011 -- one of 8 scheduled for the year.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Fed Funds Rate vs Conforming Fixed Rate (2000-2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/ffr-vs-30-year-fixed-201101.png" alt="Fed Funds Rate vs Conforming Fixed Rate (2000-2010)" width="216" height="302" />The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day meeting today in Washington D.C. It&#8217;s the group&#8217;s first meeting of 2011 &#8212; one of 8 scheduled for the year.</p>
<p>The Fed <a title="FOMC calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">meets every 45 days</a>, on average. Its last meeting was December 14, 2010.</p>
<p>Rate shoppers and home buyers should make a note. Mortgage rates and home affordability could change dramatically beginning tomorrow afternoon.</p>
<p>Because Wall Street watches FOMC meetings closely, so should you. The meetings provide insight on the future of U.S. monetary policy, as told by the nation&#8217;s central banker. Investors make trades based on the FOMC&#8217;s commentary which is one reason why mortgage rates tend to undulate through the hours leading up to the FOMC&#8217;s adjournment, and the days immediately after.</p>
<p>Wall Street is shifting old bets, and placing new ones.</p>
<p>A terrific example of this is what happened after the Fed&#8217;s November 3, 2010 meeting.</p>
<p>In its post-meeting press release, the Federal Reserve announced a new, <a title="FOMC statement for November 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20101103a.htm" target="_blank">$600 billion, market-bolstering plan</a> dubbed &#8220;QE2&#8243;. Wall Street had widely expected the Fed to create the program, but had underestimated its size.</p>
<p>Starting a $600 billion program sparked fears of a Fed-led inflation run, which, in turn, caused mortgage markets to deteriorate in a hurry. In the 3 days following the program&#8217;s announcement, mortgage rates spiked to multi-month highs and have not since recovered.</p>
<p>QE2 marked the beginning of the end of the Refi Boom and low rates. Today, conforming rates in Pennsylvania are <em>relatively</em> low as compared to higher, but are much higher than they were prior to the FOMC&#8217;s November 2010 meeting.</p>
<p>Then, December&#8217;s FOMC meeting did little to change the direction of rates. We shouldn&#8217;t expect that January&#8217;s will, either. After the FOMC&#8217;s 2:15 PM ET adjournment Wednesday, mortgage rates should resume climbing, as they have done for the past 10 weeks.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re shopping for a mortgage rate, therefore, the prudent move is to lock prior to Wednesday&#8217;s FOMC adjournment because, after once the Fed&#8217;s outlook is released, it will be too late.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (January 26, 2011 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-explanation-january-26-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-explanation-january-26-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Jan 2011 19:50:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bond market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Press release]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-to-0 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. Mortgage rates are reacting.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" /></p>
<p>Its snowing outside as I write this and the city is readying itself for another round of snowfall, but the business of the country goes on even while we run around to pick up bread and eggs and milk out of fear of being left at home without the ability to make French toast.</p>
<p>And  along those lines, today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-to-0 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.<a title="FOMC Press Release December 14 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20101214a.htm" target="_blank"></a></p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release January 26 2011" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110126a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC noted that since December&#8217;s meeting, economic growth is ongoing, but at a pace deemed &#8220;insufficient&#8221; to make a material impact on the jobs market. In addition, the Fed said household spending &#8220;picked up&#8221; late last year, although it continues to be held back by joblessness, tight credit and lower housing wealth.</p>
<p>This is similar to the language used in the FOMC&#8217;s November and December 2010 statements.</p>
<p>Also like its last two statements, the Fed used this month&#8217;s press release to re-affirm its plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221;, and to keep its $600 billion bond market support package in place.</p>
<p>And finally, of particular interest to Rhawnhurst home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers, for the second straight month, the Federal Open Market Committee&#8217;s statement contained an entire paragraph detailing the Federal Reserve&#8217;s dual mandate of managing inflation levels, while fostering maximum employment.</p>
<p>The Fed acknowledges progress toward this goal, but calls that progress &#8220;disappointingly slow&#8221;. Inflation is too low right now, and joblessness too high.</p>
<p>Over time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC has been positive since the statement&#8217;s release. Mortgage rates in Philadelphia are unchanged, but poised to improve.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting is a 1-day event, <a title="FOMC calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">March 15, 2011</a>.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (December 14, 2010 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/12/fomc-december-14-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/12/fomc-december-14-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Dec 2010 19:45:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Consumer Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bond market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dual mandate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" />Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.<a title="FOMC Press Release December 14 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20101214a.htm" target="_blank"></a></p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release December 14 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20101214a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC noted that since November&#8217;s meeting, the &#8220;economic recovery is continuing&#8221;, but at a pace deemed too slow to make a material impact on unemployment rates. It also said that household spending in increasing, but remains constrained by joblessness, tight credit and lower housing wealth.</p>
<p>In addition, the Fed used its press release to re-affirm its plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221; while also opting to keep its $600 billion bond market support package in place.</p>
<p>And lastly, of particular interest to home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers, the FOMC statement devoted an entire paragraph to the Federal Reserve&#8217;s dual mandate of keeping inflation and employment at acceptable levels.</p>
<p>The Fed acknowledges making progress toward this goal, but calls it &#8220;disappointingly slow&#8221;. Currently, inflation is too low for what the Fed deems acceptable, and unemployment is too high.</p>
<p>Over time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been negative thus far. Mortgage rates in Philadelphia are unchanged post-FOMC, but appear poised to worsen.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting is a 2-day affair, <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">January 25-26, 2011</a>. It&#8217;s the first scheduled meeting of 2011.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 10, 2010 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/08/fomc-august-10-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/08/fomc-august-10-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Aug 2010 21:55:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Fund Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, in its first meeting in 6 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged. The Fed Fund Rate remains at a historical low, within a prescribed target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="tweetmeme_button" style="float: right; margin-left: 10px;">
			<a href="http://api.tweetmeme.com/share?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.c21agvoices.com%2F2010%2F08%2Ffomc-august-10-2010%2F"><br />
				<img src="http://api.tweetmeme.com/imagebutton.gif?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.c21agvoices.com%2F2010%2F08%2Ffomc-august-10-2010%2F&amp;style=normal&amp;b=2" height="61" width="50" /><br />
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" />Today, in its first meeting in 6 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged.</p>
<p>The Fed Fund Rate remains at a historical low, within a prescribed target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p><a title="FOMC press release August 10 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20100810a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC said that, since June, the pace of economic recovery &#8220;has slowed&#8221;. Household spending is increasing but remains restrained because of high levels of unemployment, falling home values, and restrictive credit.</p>
<p>Today&#8217;s statement shows less economic optimism as compared to the prior year&#8217;s worth of FOMC statements dating back to June 2009. The Fed is looking for growth to be &#8220;more modest in the near-term&#8221; than its previous expectations.</p>
<p>Weaknesses aside, the Fed highlighted strengths in the economy, too:</p>
<ol>
<li>Growth is ongoing on a national level</li>
<li>Inflation levels remain exceedingly low</li>
<li>Business spending is rising</li>
</ol>
<p>As expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221;.</p>
<p>There were no surprises in the Fed&#8217;s statement so, as a result, the mortgage market&#8217;s reaction to the release has been neutral. Mortgage rates in Pennsylvania are unchanged this afternoon.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next meeting <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">is scheduled for September 21, 2010</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Fed&#8217;s June Minutes Keep Mortgage Rates In Rally-Mode</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/07/fomc-meeting-minutes-june-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/07/fomc-meeting-minutes-june-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jul 2010 12:45:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Minutes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[At 7,333 words, the June Fed Minutes is the unabridged version of the more well-known, post-meeting press release.  The corresponding press release was just 360 words. It turns out, the Fed's words are doing wonders for mortgage rates.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="FOMC June 2010 Minutes" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fomc-minutes-201006.jpg" alt="FOMC June 2010 Minutes" width="200" height="296" /><a title="Freddie Mac PMMS survey" href="http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/" target="_blank">According to Freddie Mac</a>, mortgage rates made new all-time lows this week and the good news is that rates look poised to fall even more.</p>
<p>Since the Federal Reserve&#8217;s release of its June 2010 meeting minutes last Wednesday, mortgage rates are dipping even more and one of the main reasons why is because of some choice Fed words.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;ve never seen a Fed Minutes release, it reads academic. The document is <a title="FOMC June 2010 Minutes" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20100623.htm" target="_blank">page after page</a> of stats, facts and figures about the U.S. economy, accompanied by an in-depth recap of the intra-Fed member debates that shape the nation&#8217;s monetary policy.</p>
<p>At 7,333 words, the June Fed Minutes is the unabridged version of the more well-known, post-meeting press release.  The corresponding press release was just 360 words.</p>
<p>As it turns out, Wall Street didn&#8217;t like what it read in the minutes.  Specifically:</p>
<ol>
<li>The Fed expects below normal growth through 2012</li>
<li>The Fed&#8217;s outlook for employment has dipped</li>
<li>Credit conditions are easing only slowly</li>
</ol>
<p>Furthermore, the Fed said its action may be needed if the economy were &#8220;to worsen appreciably&#8221;.</p>
<p>Overall, the economic optimism the Fed displayed earlier this year appears to be waning. The economy is moving forward &#8212; just not as quickly as expected.  That should bode well for mortgage rates and home shopping in Philadelphia.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates were down Wednesday afternoon and Thursday and remain historically low. All it would take to reverse rates, however, is a run of positive news on jobs, growth, and consumer spending.  Therefore, if you know you need to lock a mortgage rate in the near-term, it may be a good time to make the call.</p>
<p>Lock your mortgage rate and move on.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (June 23, 2010 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/06/fomc-june-23-2010-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/06/fomc-june-23-2010-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jun 2010 12:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Jersey]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, in its first meeting in 5 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged. The Fed Fund Rate remains within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->Wednesday , in its first meeting in 5 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged.</p>
<p>The Fed Fund Rate remains within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p>In its press release, the FOMC said that, since April, &#8220;the economic recovery is proceeding&#8221; and that the jobs market &#8220;is improving gradually&#8221;. Business spending &#8220;has risen significantly&#8221;, too, with the exception of commercial real estate.</p>
<p>Today&#8217;s statement is the 8th straight press release in which the Fed shows optimism for the U.S. economy, dating back to June 2009.  Since that time, the Fed has terminated all of the programs it created to support the economy through the economic crisis.</p>
<p>The recession is widely <a title="Recession on Wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession#United_States_2" target="_blank">believed to be over</a>.</p>
<p>And, although the Fed&#8217;s statement acknowledged economic growth, it did highlight lingering threats, too.</p>
<ol>
<li>Employers are still reluctant to hire new workers</li>
<li>European debt concerns could spill-over to the U.S.</li>
<li>Bank lending is contracting</li>
</ol>
<p>Also, as expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221;, citing that &#8220;inflation has trended lower&#8221; recently.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction has been positive thus far. Mortgage rates in New Jersey are slightly improved post-FOMC.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">is August 10, 2010</a>.</p>
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		<title>Making A Mortgage Rate Strategy Ahead Of The Fed&#8217;s Meeting This Week</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/06/fomc-meeting-lock-strategy-june-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/06/fomc-meeting-lock-strategy-june-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jun 2010 12:45:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/?p=634</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day meeting today, its fourth scheduled meeting of the year, and fifth overall. There's no expectation for the Fed to change the Fed Funds Rate but that doesn't mean consumers should expect mortgage rates to remain unchanged, too.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="tweetmeme_button" style="float: right; margin-left: 10px;">
			<a href="http://api.tweetmeme.com/share?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.c21agvoices.com%2F2010%2F06%2Ffomc-meeting-lock-strategy-june-2010%2F"><br />
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Fed Funds Rate June 2007-June 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fed-funds-rate-201006.png" alt="Fed Funds Rate June 2007-June 2010" width="216" height="302" />The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day meeting today, its <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">fourth scheduled meeting</a> of the year, and fifth overall.</p>
<p>The FOMC is the monetary policy-setting part of the government and its primary tool for that purpose is the <a title="Fed Funds Rate on Wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate" target="_blank">Fed Funds Rate</a>.</p>
<p>The Fed Funds Rate is the dictated rate at which banks borrow money from each other and, since December 16, 2008, the Federal Reserve has voted to keep the benchmark rate within a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p>This is the lowest Fed Funds Rate in history. A rate near zero-point-zero percent renders borrowing by business and consumers cheap which, in turn, promotes investment and growth.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no expectation for the Fed to change the Fed Funds Rate after it adjourns tomorrow, but that doesn&#8217;t mean consumers in Mount Holly should expect mortgage rates to remain unchanged, too.</p>
<p>To the contrary, mortgage rates tend to be volatile when the FOMC is meeting.  This is because the FOMC issues a press release after each meeting and in that press release, it comments on the economy&#8217;s unique threats, strengths and weaknesses.</p>
<p>When the FOMC speaks, Wall Street listens.</p>
<p>The words of the Chairman Ben Bernanke&#8217;s press release will be dissected and analyzed.  A single mention of higher-than-expected inflation levels, or better-than-expected growth, and traders will rush to dump their bond positions in favor of equities.</p>
<p>This has a negative effect on mortgage rates.</p>
<p>Conversely, if the Fed is dour on the economy, mortgage rates may fall.</p>
<p>We can’t know for sure what the Fed will say or do tomorrow afternoon so if you&#8217;re floating a mortgage rate and wondering whether to lock, the safe choice is to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (March 16, 2010 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/03/fomc-march-16-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2010/03/fomc-march-16-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Mar 2010 19:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/?p=462</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged, in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" />Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged, in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release March 16 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20100316a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy &#8220;has continued to strengthen&#8221; and that the jobs markets &#8220;is stabilizing&#8221;.  It also said that business spending has &#8220;has risen significantly&#8221;.</p>
<p>This is a slight departure from the Fed&#8217;s January statement in which housing was not mentioned and business spending was said to be &#8220;picking up&#8221;.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also the sixth straight statement from the FOMC in which the Fed described the economy with optimism.  This is a signal to markets that 2008-2009 recession is over and that economic growth is returning.</p>
<p>The economy is not without threats, however, and the Fed identified several:</p>
<ol>
<li>High unemployment threatens consumer spending</li>
<li>Housing starts are at a &#8220;depressed level&#8221;</li>
<li>Consumer credit remains tight</li>
</ol>
<p>The message’s overall tone, however, remained positive and inflation is within tolerance limits</p>
<p>Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period” and to end its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage market by March 31, 2010. Fed insiders estimate that the bond-buying program lowered mortgage rates <a title="Federal Reserve stats on WSJ.com" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/12/02/the-feds-markets-guy-eyes-asset-sales-and-rate-increases/" target="_blank">by 1 percent</a> since its start.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the Fed press release is, in general, ambivalent. Mortgage rates in Mount Holly are unchanged this afternoon.</p>
<p>The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is a 2-day affair, <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">April 27-28, 2010</a>.</p>
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