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	<title>C21AGVoices &#187; Real Estate</title>
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	<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com</link>
	<description>Real Estate Wisdom  and Information From CENTURY 21 Advantage Gold -The Only CENTURY 21 Firm With Offices in Pennsylvania AND New Jersey!</description>
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		<title>What To Know Before You Move To A New Neighborhood</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/07/scout-neighborhood-before-you-buy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/07/scout-neighborhood-before-you-buy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jul 2011 12:45:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyers,The Today Show,Home Shopping]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/07/scout-neighborhood-before-you-buy/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this 5-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn a dozen complementary home-shopping techniques to help you review and evaluate a home for purchase. Each is focused on findings you won't see listed on a website.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
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<p>As home buyers in the Philadelphia area , we tend to research homes a lot. We look at square footage; at upgrades; at landscaping; at community statistics; and, at every other &#8220;number&#8221; on which we can get our hands.</p>
<p>But those are just statistics. What about the home&#8217;s &#8220;feel&#8221;?&nbsp;</p>
<p>In this 5-minute piece from NBC&#8217;s The Today Show, you&#8217;ll learn <a title="Shopping for a home" href="http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/3041440/ns/today-money#43591720" target="_blank">a dozen complementary home-shopping techniques</a> to help you review and evaluate a home for purchase. Each is focused on findings you won&#8217;t see listed on a website.</p>
<p>For example, instead of scheduling your second showing for the same time of day as your <em>first</em> one, revisit a home during an &#8220;opposite&#8221; time. if you originally saw the home in daylight, go see it at nighttime. If you first saw a home on the weekend, go see it during the work week.</p>
<p>By seeing a home in two distinct settings, you can get a better feel for what the home and neighborhood are really like.</p>
<p>Some of the other tips from the video include:</p>
<ol>
<li>Visit during Rush Hour and on a Saturday night. This will help you gauge sound levels of the street.</li>
<li>Go to Google Maps and study the aerial shot of the home. What&#8217;s nearby?</li>
<li>Talk to neighbors. They&#8217;ll share everything about the neighborhood with you &#8212; good and bad.</li>
</ol>
<p>When you buy a home, you committing to more than just the property. You&#8217;re committing to the neighborhood, too. Armed with the methods described in this video, you&#8217;ll be better prepared to make a good decision.</p>
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		<title>Moving To A New City? See How Much Your Cost Of Living Will Change.</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/06/cost-of-living-between-two-cities/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/06/cost-of-living-between-two-cities/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Jun 2011 12:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of Living,Household Budget]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It's a fact: It's more expensive to live in some cities than others. Beyond just the costs of buying a home, different cities also carry a different Cost of Living. For households relocating across state lines, the change in "life costs" can be jarring.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px; border: 1px solid black;" title="Cost of Living varies from town to town" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/cost-of-living-truck.jpg" alt="Cost of Living varies from town to town" width="250" height="167" />It&#8217;s a fact: It&#8217;s more expensive to live in some cities than others. Beyond just the costs of buying a home, different cities also carry a different Cost of Living. For households relocating from New Jersey and &nbsp;across state lines, the change in &#8220;life costs&#8221; can be jarring.</p>
<p>Depending on where you live, everyday expenses &#8212; from groceries to gasoline &#8212; make a different-sized dent in a household budget. And now you can see in numbers by how much your expenses might change.</p>
<p>Visit Bankrate.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a title="Cost of Living Comparison Calculator" href="http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/savings/moving-cost-of-living-calculator.aspx" target="_blank">Cost of Living Comparison Calculator</a>.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Cost of Living Comparison calculator is as basic as it is thorough. The calculator asks just 3 questions &#8212; &nbsp;(1) Where do you live now,&nbsp;(2) To what city are you moving, and (3) What is your salary &#8212; and uses your answers to produce a detailed, 60-item cost comparison between the two towns.</p>
<p>The city-to-city cost comparisons include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Dry Cleaning Costs</li>
<li>Total Energy Costs</li>
<li>Beauty Salon Costs</li>
<li>Movie Costs</li>
<li>Dentist Visit Costs</li>
</ul>
<p>The list also features a mortgage rate comparison, and a comparison of local home prices.</p>
<p>The Cost of Living calculator is based on data from&nbsp;<a title="ACCRA website " onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outbound/article/http://www.coli.org/');" href="http://www.coli.org/" target="_blank">the ACCRA</a>. On the ACCRA website, a similar report sells for $5.&nbsp;At Bankrate.com, the information is free.</p>
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		<title>Ignore The Case-Shiller Index; Focus On The Future Instead</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/case-shiller-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/case-shiller-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Mar 2011 13:45:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case–Shiller index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real estate pricing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Standard & Poor's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wikipedia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/?p=1082</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[December's Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index's 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall. The retreat puts December's home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller December 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-monthly-201012.png" alt="Case-Shiller December 2010" width="450" height="438" /></p>
<p>Last week, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s released its Case-Shiller Index for December 2010. The index is a home valuation tracker, meant to measure the change in home prices from one period to the next.</p>
<p>December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index&#8217;s 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall.</p>
<p>The retreat puts December&#8217;s home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.</p>
<p>That said, buyers and sellers in the Philadelphia marketplace would be wise to take the findings lightly. The Case-Shiller Index is inherently flawed. As such, its results are neither practical &#8212; nor relevant &#8212; to everyday Americans. If you have read this blog before, you know that our market is not included in the Index, and in this case is opposite to the market information which shows that our market area had a 2.9% increase in 2010 over 2009.</p>
<p>There are 3 Case-Shiller flaws, in fact.</p>
<p>The first flaw is the index&#8217;s limited sample set. Wikipedia lists <a title="List of cities, towns and villages in the United States" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities,_towns,_and_villages_in_the_United_States" target="_blank">3,100+ municipalities</a> nationwide and we can be certain that real estate is bought and sold in all of them. The Case-Shiller Index, however, measures just 20 of them. That&#8217;s less than 1% of all U.S. cities. And then, <em>within</em> those tracked cities, Case-Shiller reports an average, lumping disparate neighborhoods and streets into one big number.</p>
<p>The &#8220;national figures&#8221; aren&#8217;t really national, and the &#8220;city data&#8221; doesn&#8217;t apply to your home, specifically.</p>
<p>The second Case-Shiller Index flaw is how it measures home value changes. The index only consider at &#8220;repeat sales&#8221; of the same home, so long as that home is a single-family, detached property. Condominiums, multi-family homes, and new construction are ignored in the Case-Shiller Index.</p>
<p>Because distressed properties account for such a high percentage of resales lately &#8212; <a title="Existing Home Sales, January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/02/january_above" target="_blank">36% in December</a> &#8211;foreclosures and short sales skew Case-Shiller Index worse.</p>
<p>And, lastly, the Case-Shiller Index is flawed by &#8220;age&#8221;. Because it reports closed sales a 60-day delay, December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index is measuring the values of home sales contracts from September and October. The Case-Shiller Index, therefore, is a snapshot of the not-so-recent past, and does little to tell us about the next 60 days.</p>
<p>Overall, the Case-Shiller Index is helpful tool for economists and policy-makers, but it doesn&#8217;t do much good for individual homeowners across the city of Philadelphia or anywhere else. For accurate, real-time housing data in your local market, talk to a real estate professional instead.</p>
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		<title>Military Personnel Can Still Claim The $8,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/military-tax-credit-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/03/military-tax-credit-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 13:45:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Homebuyer Tax Credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buyer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internal Revenue Service]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IRS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ownership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States Foreign Service]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[For certain members of the military, and for certain federal employees, there's just 2 months remaining to get use the federal home buyer tax credit.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px; border: 1px solid black;" title="Tax credit extended for military households" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/8000-tax-credit-2-months.jpg" alt="Tax credit extended for military households" width="220" height="204" />For certain members of the military, and for certain federal employees, there&#8217;s just 2 months remaining to get use the federal home buyer tax credit.</p>
<p>Eligible persons include members of the uniformed services, members of the Foreign Service, and intelligence community employees who served at least 90 days of qualified, extended duty service outside of the United States between January 1, 2009 and April 30, 2010.</p>
<p>Spouses of persons meeting the above criteria are eligible as well.</p>
<p>The federal home buyer tax credit ranges up to $8,000 for first-time home buyers, and up to $6,500 for existing homeowners. Existing homeowners must have lived in their &#8220;main home&#8221; through 5 of the last 8 years to be eligible.</p>
<p>Claiming the federal tax credit is a two-step process. First, eligible persons must be under contract for a new home on or before April 30, 2011.  The home&#8217;s closing must then occur on or before June 30, 2011.</p>
<p>The IRS does not make date exceptions.</p>
<p>Furthermore, both the buyer(s) and the subject property must meet certain minimum eligibility requirements:</p>
<ul>
<li>The home may not be purchased from a parent, spouse, or child</li>
<li>The home may not be purchased from an entity in which the seller is a majority owner</li>
<li>The home may not be acquired by gift or inheritance</li>
<li>Each buyer must meet tax credit eligibility standards</li>
<li>The home sale price may not exceed $800,000</li>
<li>Buyers may not earn more than $125,000 as single-filers; $225,000 as joint-filers</li>
</ul>
<p>The complete program description is published <a title="IRS Military home buyer tax credit" href="http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=215594,00.html" target="_blank">on the IRS website</a>.</p>
<p>Another important note is that the IRS is giving eligible buyers a tax <em>credit</em> as opposed to a deduction.  This means that a taxpayer qualifying for the full $8,000, and for whom the &#8220;normal&#8221; 2011 federal tax liability is $8,000, will have zero federal tax liability in 2011.</p>
<p>For additional information regarding your tax credit eligibility, call an accountant. Speaking with a tax professional is often worth the cost.</p>
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		<title>Practical Advice : How To Help Your Home Sell Faster</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/nbc-today-show-home-sales/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/nbc-today-show-home-sales/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2011 13:45:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home How To]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Inspections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Today Show]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Home sellers that want to sell quickly should take a listen to this 3-minute interview from NBC's The Today Show. It's loaded with practical advice.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
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<p>In December, home sales reached an 8-month high, recovering from the losses of last summer. Market momentum is positive across Pennsylvania , but that doesn&#8217;t mean <em>every</em> home is selling quickly &#8212; only some of them are.</p>
<p>So, if you&#8217;re a home seller and want (or need) to get your home sold quickly, take a listen to <a title="NBC The Today Show 5 Tips To Sell Your Home" href="http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/26184891#41231064" target="_blank">this 3-minute interview</a> from NBC&#8217;s The Today Show. It&#8217;s loaded with practical sales advice for sellers.</p>
<p>As examples:</p>
<ul>
<li>How to price your home relative to comparable homes for sale</li>
<li>Using home inspections to keep your contract on-track for closing</li>
<li>How much should be spent on your &#8220;home photos&#8221; that are shown online</li>
</ul>
<p>The interview also covers about the 3 key places of a home on which to spend money &#8212; the kitchen, the living area, and the front facade. And for good reason &#8212; they&#8217;re emotional hooks for buyers that help sell homes.</p>
<p>In any market, selling a home can be a challenge. It can be easier by applying common sense.</p>
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		<title>Pending Home Sales At The Highest Levels Since April 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/pending-home-sales-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/pending-home-sales-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 13:45:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pending Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Association of REALTORSÂ®]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Home Sales]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Another day, another strong report for housing. The Pending Home Sales Index climbed 2 percent in December, according to the National Association of REALTORSÂ®]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Pending Home Sales June 2009 Dec 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/pending-home-sales-201012.png" alt="Pending Home Sales June 2009 Dec 2010" width="216" height="302" />Another day, another strong report for housing.</p>
<p>The Pending Home Sales Index climbed 2 percent in December, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. A &#8220;pending home sale&#8221; is an existing home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.</p>
<p>Pending Home Sales are up for the fifth time in 6 months. The December reading is now its highest since the federal home buyer tax credit&#8217;s April 2010 contract deadline, and the figure is well north of the Pending Home Sales Index 3-year average.</p>
<p>Coupling this data with December&#8217;s strong Existing Homes Sales report (<a title="Existing Home Sales December 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/01/sharp_rise" target="_blank">+12%</a>) and its strong New Home Sales report (<a title="New Home Sales report" href="http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf" target="_blank">+17%</a>), it&#8217;s clear that the housing market has past its trough and is in Recovery Mode.</p>
<p>Even consumer confidence is at <a title="Consumer Confidence story on Business Week" href="http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9KVEC502.htm" target="_blank">an 8-month high</a>.</p>
<p>On a regional basis, December&#8217;s Pending Home Sales Index varied as compared against November. The South region led the way, and the West region lagged.</p>
<ul>
<li>Northeast Region: +1.8%</li>
<li>Midwest Region : +8.0%</li>
<li>South Region : +11.5%</li>
<li>West Region : -13.2%</li>
</ul>
<p>Home buyers in areas such as South Philly would do well to study last month&#8217;s Pending Home Sales Index. It offers clues of what to expect during the spring buying season. For example, according to the National Association of REALTORS®, 80 percent of homes under contract <a title="Pending Home Sales methodology" href="http://www.realtor.org/research/research/phsbackground" target="_blank">close within 60 days</a>.</p>
<p>Therefore, we can look at the December Pending Home Sales Index and project, with a high level of confidence, that home sales will be higher throughout February and March on a units-basis.</p>
<p>Furthermore, because the Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales reports show that housing stock is falling nationwide, spring buyers in Mount Holly will notice find more competition for the available housing stock. As the Supply-and-Demand curve shifts towards sellers, home prices rise.</p>
<p>In other words, there&#8217;s no rush to buy a home, but as the year progresses, home prices are expected to rise, as are mortgage rates. This one-two combination will impact home affordability negatively. And the higher that mortgage rates go, the worse the damage.</p>
<p>Your home-buying dollar won&#8217;t go as far in 2011&#8242;s second half as it will go right now. If you have plans to buy a home in 2011, consider moving up your time-frame.</p>
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		<title>Home Values in Philadelphia Area Challenge National Trends</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/home-price-index-november-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/02/home-price-index-november-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 13:45:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Price Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Jersey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pennsylvania]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case–Shiller index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Housing Finance Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House price index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New England]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palmyra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Price index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real estate pricing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington DC]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Home values were reported unchanged in November 2010, on average, according to the Federal Home Finance Agency's Home Price Index. ]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Home Price Index from peak to present" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/hpi-delta-from-peak-201011.png" alt="Home Price Index from peak to present" width="216" height="302" />Home values were reported unchanged in November 2010, on average, according to the Federal Home Finance Agency&#8217;s <a title="Home Price Index report November 2010" href="http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/19644/MonthlyHPINov12511.pdf" target="_blank">Home Price Index</a>.</p>
<p>We say &#8220;on average&#8221; because the government&#8217;s Home Price Index is a data composite for the country. The index doesn&#8217;t measure citywide changes in places like Palmyra , nor does it get granular down to the neighborhood level to measure places like South Philly.</p>
<p>Instead, the Home Price Index groups state data in 9 regions with each regions having as few as 4 states in it, and as many as 8.</p>
<p>Not surprisingly, each of the regions posted different price change figures for the period of October-to-November 2010.</p>
<p>A sampling includes:</p>
<ul>
<li>Values in the Pacific region rose +1.2%</li>
<li>Values in the New England region rose +0.3%</li>
<li>Values in the Mountain region fell -1.9%</li>
</ul>
<p>The complete regional list is available <a title="FHFA Home Price Index November 2010" href="http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/19644/MonthlyHPINov12511.pdf" target="_blank">at the FHFA website</a>.</p>
<p>That said, none of these numbers are particularly helpful to today&#8217;s home buyers and sellers and that&#8217;s because everyday people don&#8217;t buy and sell homes on the Regional Level. We do it locally and the government&#8217;s Home Price Index can&#8217;t capture data at that level.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a similar reason to why the Case-Shiller Index is irrelevant to buyers and sellers.</p>
<p>November&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index showed home values <a href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/servlet/BlobServer?blobheadername3=MDT-Type&amp;blobcol=urldocumentfile&amp;blobtable=SPComSecureDocument&amp;blobheadervalue2=inline%3B+filename%3Ddownload.pdf&amp;blobheadername2=Content-Disposition&amp;blobheadervalue1=application%2Fpdf&amp;blobkey=id&amp;blobheadername1=content-type&amp;blobwhere=1245286034462&amp;blobheadervalue3=abinary%3B+charset%3DUTF-8&amp;blobnocache=true" target="_blank">down 1 percent</a> in November, but that conclusion is a composite of just 20 cities nationwide &#8212; and they&#8217;re not even the 20 largest cities. Philadelphia, Houston and San Jose are conspicuously absent from the Case-Shiller list. If you have read this blog before, you know that I have a problem with a national housing price index that ignores a large metro area like ours. In 2010, the reason for this became even more obvious.</p>
<p>In a year when Case-Schiller says that prices have fallen, our market actually showed a 2.6% <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong>increase</strong></em></span> in the average sold price according to data from Trend MLS. Sadly, people that only read larger national periodicals will see Case-Schiller quoted again and again, not recognizing that our market has bucked that trend. Valuable information for potential home buyers who might be concerned that there is some lack of value in our market &#8211; a fear that has no basis in fact.</p>
<p>So why are reports like the Home Price and the Case-Shiller Index even published at all? Because, as national indicators, they help governments make policy, businesses make decisions, and banks make guidelines. Entities like that <em>are </em>national and require data that describe the economy as a whole. Home buyers and sellers, by contrast, need it locally, and I would hope pay more attention to local data than national indexes based upon an arbitrary data set.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (January 26, 2011 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-explanation-january-26-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/fomc-explanation-january-26-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Jan 2011 19:50:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bond market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal funds rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Open Market Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve System]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Press release]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-to-0 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. Mortgage rates are reacting.]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" /></p>
<p>Its snowing outside as I write this and the city is readying itself for another round of snowfall, but the business of the country goes on even while we run around to pick up bread and eggs and milk out of fear of being left at home without the ability to make French toast.</p>
<p>And  along those lines, today, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-to-0 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.<a title="FOMC Press Release December 14 2010" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20101214a.htm" target="_blank"></a></p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release January 26 2011" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110126a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC noted that since December&#8217;s meeting, economic growth is ongoing, but at a pace deemed &#8220;insufficient&#8221; to make a material impact on the jobs market. In addition, the Fed said household spending &#8220;picked up&#8221; late last year, although it continues to be held back by joblessness, tight credit and lower housing wealth.</p>
<p>This is similar to the language used in the FOMC&#8217;s November and December 2010 statements.</p>
<p>Also like its last two statements, the Fed used this month&#8217;s press release to re-affirm its plan to keep the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent &#8220;for an extended period&#8221;, and to keep its $600 billion bond market support package in place.</p>
<p>And finally, of particular interest to Rhawnhurst home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers, for the second straight month, the Federal Open Market Committee&#8217;s statement contained an entire paragraph detailing the Federal Reserve&#8217;s dual mandate of managing inflation levels, while fostering maximum employment.</p>
<p>The Fed acknowledges progress toward this goal, but calls that progress &#8220;disappointingly slow&#8221;. Inflation is too low right now, and joblessness too high.</p>
<p>Over time, the Fed expects both measurements to improve.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC has been positive since the statement&#8217;s release. Mortgage rates in Philadelphia are unchanged, but poised to improve.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting is a 1-day event, <a title="FOMC calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">March 15, 2011</a>.</p>
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		<title>December&#8217;s Job Report : Good For Home Affordability</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/non-farm-payrolls-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/non-farm-payrolls-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Jan 2011 13:45:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bureau of Labor Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage loan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Jersey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.c21agvoices.com/?p=964</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For this month -- and for the rest of 2011-- employment data will figure big in mortgage markets and for home affordability. Last week's release is the first big splash.]]></description>
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<dl class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 250px;">
<dt class="wp-caption-dt"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/25379483@N03/3194230247"><img title="The completion of the stone walls" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3499/3194230247_aa0e8a8198_m.jpg" alt="The completion of the stone walls" width="240" height="191" /></a></dt>
<dd class="wp-caption-dd zemanta-img-attribution" style="font-size: 0.8em;">Image by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/25379483@N03/3194230247">reeltor99</a> via Flickr</dd>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Non-Farm Payrolls (Jan 2009-Dec 2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/net-nfp-jobs-201012.png" alt="Non-Farm Payrolls (Jan 2009-Dec 2010)" width="216" height="302" />On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report.</p>
<p>More commonly called &#8220;the jobs report&#8221;, the government&#8217;s data include raw employment figures and the Unemployment Rate.</p>
<p>The jobs report hit the wires at 8:30 AM ET today. It&#8217;s making big waves in the mortgage market and may help home affordability for buyers in Philadelphia this weekend, and would-be refinancers across New Jersey.</p>
<p>For this month, and for the rest of 2011, employment data will figure big in mortgage markets.</p>
<p>7 million jobs were lost in 2008 and 2009. Fewer than one million jobs were recovered in 2010. For the economy to fully recover, analysts believe that jobs growth is paramount.</p>
<p>Consider how job creation influences the economy:</p>
<ol>
<li>More jobs means more income and more spending</li>
<li>More spending means more business growth</li>
<li>More business growth means more job creation</li>
</ol>
<p>It&#8217;s a self-reinforcing cycle and, as business grows, the economy expands, pushing stock markets higher. This tends to lead mortgage rates higher, too, because bonds can lose their appeal when stock markets gain.</p>
<p>According to the government, <a title="Employment Report" href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm" target="_blank">103,000 jobs were created in December</a>, and October&#8217;s and November&#8217;s figures were revised higher by a net 50,000 jobs for a total of 153,000 new jobs created. Economists expected a net gain of 135,000.</p>
<p>The Unemployment rate fell to 9.4, its lowest level since mid-2009.</p>
<p>Wall Street is voting with its dollars right now. Mortgage bonds are improving, pointing to slightly lower mortgage rates today.</p>
<p>The December jobs report was &#8220;average&#8221;, and home affordability is improving.</p>
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		<title>Retail Sales Weak In December; Home Affordability Gets A Boost</title>
		<link>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/retail-sales-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.c21agvoices.com/2011/01/retail-sales-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Jan 2011 13:45:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Lublin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retail Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy of the United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage loan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palmyra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States Department of Commerce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage rates are easing lower this morning on just-released, slightly worse-than-expected Retail Sales data from December 2010.
]]></description>
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<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Bill Lublin and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Retail Sales (2009-2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/retail-sales-201012.png" alt="Retail Sales (2009-2010)" width="216" height="302" />Consumers keep spending, the economy keeps growing.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates are easing lower this morning on just-released, slightly worse-than-expected Retail Sales data from December 2010.</p>
<p>Excluding motor vehicles and auto parts, December&#8217;s sales receipts were <a title="Retail Sales December 2009" href="http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/download/text/advt1.txt" target="_blank">$1.5 billion higher</a> from November. Analysts had expected a number north of $2 billion.</p>
<p>Despite falling short of estimates, however, December&#8217;s reading is the highest in Retail Sales history, surpassing the previous record set in July 2008, set during the recession. In addition, December&#8217;s strong numbers helped 2010&#8242;s year-over-year numbers go positive for the first time in 3 years.</p>
<p>Although the data is a mixed bag for Wall Street, home affordability in Palmyra is improving today.</p>
<p>The link between Retail Sales and home affordability may not be up-front obvious, but in a post-recession economy like ours, it&#8217;s often tight. Retail Sales is another name for &#8220;consumer spending&#8221; and consumer spending makes up more that 70% of the U.S. economy.</p>
<p>As spending grows, the economy tends to, too.</p>
<p>Investors recognize this and start chasing &#8220;risk&#8221;. It becomes a boost for the stock market, but those gains are made at the expense of &#8220;safe&#8221; asset classes which include mortgage-backed bonds. Mortgage-backed bonds are the basis for conforming and FHA mortgage rates so, as bond markets sell off, asset prices fall and rates move up.</p>
<p>Thankfully, rate shoppers will avoid that scenario today &#8212; at least for today. <a title="Retail Sales Report" href="http://www.census.gov/retail/marts/www/marts_current.pdf" target="_blank">December&#8217;s Retail Sales results</a> are a factor in the bond market&#8217;s early-day improvement. Conforming and FHA mortgage rates across the state of Pennsylvania should be lower today.</p>
<p>Despite the good news, if you&#8217;re shopping for a mortgage, consider locking your rate as soon as possible. Mortgage rates are coming off a 2-week rally and look poised to reverse appear &#8212; especially with a full docket of data due for next week. As mortgage rates rise, purchasing power falls.</p>
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